Politics

Quinnipiac: McCain Up By 2 In Colorado

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McCain – 46
Obama – 44

On June 26th, Obama was up 49 to 44, so this represents a 7 point net gain for McCain.

Some demo info…

  • Obama leads 50 – 39 percent among women.
  • Men back McCain 55 – 37 percent.
  • White voters back McCain 51 – 41 percent.
  • Hispanic voters go with Obama 57 – 29 percent.
  • Obama leads 51 – 43 percent with voters 18 to 34 years old.
  • Boters 35 to 54 split their preference 46 – 46 percent.
  • McCain leads 51 – 37 percent among voters over 55.

Other recent polls show Obama with a 7 point lead, and Pollster.com’s “poll of polls” shows a very tight race…

What I’m taking away from all of this is that neither candidate can take Colorado for granted in this election cycle…especially McCain. He needs to win Colorado, and if he doesn’t, he’ll have to replace it with another state like Michigan or Pennsylvania.

More next month…

  • kranky kritter

    I’d go a bit further.

    For starters,McCain must win Florida, which I think he will.

    Then on top of that he really has to win Ohio. That’s the state where I’d plug in the “or replace it with PA or MI.” Because Oh is 20, PA is 21 and MI is 17.

    Colorado? CO is only 9 electoral votes. So in terms of getting to 270 (which in my view is all that really matters), Colorado only matters about half as much as MI, OH, and PA.

    CO looks to be very close. Must McCain win CO? I say yes, but not so much for the 9 votes, but because of the bellweather it represents as a usually solid GOP state from the midwest red bloc. My gut says that if McCain can’t win CO, then he has very little chance of winning PA or MI, and is probably in trouble in OH as well. It’s sort of a domino view.